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Global konjunkturprognos

Räntehöjningar trots lägre tillväxt

  • Geopolitiska risker dominerar
  • Fortsatt splittrad bild av världskonjunkturen
  • Världens centralbanker trotsar oro
  • Riksbanken fortsätter med räntehöjningar efter vinterns första steg
  

Ann Öberg

Head of Economic Research

Chief Economist Global Research

anob04@handelsbanken.se

Latest analyses

2018-11-07

Global konjunkturprognos

2018-11-07

Global Macro Forecast

2018-08-22

Global konjunkturprognos

Latest publications in

Fast Comment Norway — Preview: LFS unemployment in September (Wednesday)

  1. Unemployment has more or less levelled out, due to the rise in labour force participation rate
  2. But with participation recovered, we continue to see scope for some lower unemployment ahead
  3. We expect LFS unemployment at 3.9 pct in Sep, following 4.0 pct in August

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Sweden — Housing prices in October: trending somewhat higher

  1. Weak m-o-m, but stable trend in October
  2. Stronger trend in housing prices in Malmö
  3. Strong economy supporting the still fragile housing market

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist | hebo12@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — October inflation - poor at first glance, but underlying strength

  1. Somewhat below the Riksbank's forecast
  2. But not all bad in terms of underlying inflation
  3. We still forecast a policy rate hike this winter

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Denmark — Surprisingly strong GDP-growth in Q3

  1. The GDP indicator showed growth of 0.7 percent q-o-q in Q3 - much stronger than we had expected
  2. Growth was more than twice as strong as in the eurozone
  3. The GDP indicator is however surrounded by uncertainty

Jes Asmussen, Chief Economist Denmark | jeas01@handelsbanken.dk

Fast Comment China — Signs of stimulus but growth slowdown continues

  1. Infrastructure investments rebounds while households are holding back
  2. Now more difficult to stimulate the economy
  3. Stimuli will mitigate but not avoid the growth slowdown

Bjarke Roed-Frederiksen, Senior Economist | bjro03@handelsbanken.dk