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Global Macro Forecast - Global economy on shaky ground

  • A downturn is imminent
  • Time for politicians to step up
  • Interest rates remain low

   

Global Konjunkturprognos - Världsekonomin på skakig grund

 

  • Nu vänder konjunkturen ned
  • Upp till bevis för politikerna
  • Räntorna förblir låga
   

Christina Nyman

Head of Forecasting

Global Research

chny09@handelsbanken.se

Latest analyses

2018-11-22

Aktuell ekonomi

2018-09-13

Swedish Rate Wrap

2018-09-13

Ränterullen

Latest publications in

Fast Comment Sweden — Inflation disappoints, adding to Riksbank worries ahead of April meeting

  1. Inflation well short of expectations
  2. But volatile components explain most of our forecast error - partly temporary?
  3. For the time being, we stick to our view of decent inflation developments in 2019

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Housing prices up in January, but exceptionally low monthly figure

  1. Stagnated price trend as expected
  2. Some regional differences, but mind the volatility
  3. New completions to peak this year and housing prices remain close to unchanged, we believe

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist | hebo12@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Preview of January CPI: Setting the stage for 2019 inflation outlook

  1. Inflation to pick up, but less than Riksbank expects
  2. Is the yearly CPI basket change effect a risk to the Riksbank's 2019 outlook?
  3. Some January risks more temporary in nature, and overall we are positive on 2019 inflation

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Norway — Preview: Investment survey oil and gas, Q1 2019

  1. Investment survey due next Thursday
  2. 2019 will see a solid investment gain; some upside risk to NB’s estimate…
  3. …but the outlook further ahead appears to be weaker

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Sweden — Unemployment in January: Below expectations

  1. Unemployment at 6.5 percent (6.0 percent SA)
  2. Employment continued to rise
  3. Leading indicators point to more modest employment growth ahead

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist | hebo12@handelsbanken.se