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Global Macro Forecast - Meagre shelter for the global economy

  • Economic slowdown and long period of weak growth
  • Persistent political worries; households increasingly cautious
  • Central banks change course, but their toolboxes look empty

Christina Nyman

Chief Economist

Global Research

chny09@handelsbanken.se

Latest analyses

2018-11-22

Aktuell ekonomi

2018-09-13

Swedish Rate Wrap

2018-09-13

Ränterullen

Latest publications in

Macro Forecast Norway — Coming in for landing

• Global growth slowing; central banks reassess the interest rate outlook
• Oil-driven growth to increase in 2019, but slow from next year
• Housing prices continue upward, albeit at a slower pace than nominal wages
• Interest rates on the rise, but Norges Bank will not come far

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no

Global Macro Forecast — Meagre shelter for the global economy

• Economic slowdown and long period of weak growth
• Persistent political worries; households increasingly cautious
• Central banks change course, but their toolboxes look empty

Lena Fahlén, Head of Economic Research | leli15@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Business sector production in February is one more sign of a cooling economy

  1. Downward revision to January, growth stalls
  2. Still high level of production, sustaining bright labour market
  3. New macro forecast report tomorrow!

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment US — Strong employment gains, but moderate wage growth

  1. Strong employment gains; continued strong labour market
  2. Moderate wage growth
  3. We expect job growth to slow down and the Fed’s next move will be to cut rates

Anders Bergvall, Senior Economist | anbe83@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Week ahead: Inflation and production both slowing, but 2019 outlook differs between the two

  1. Inflation expected well below Riksbank's forecast in last reading ahead of policy meeting
  2. Harder to disentangle the signal from the noise, but we forecast near-term rise in underlying inflation
  3. Worsening outlook for business sector output

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se