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Global Macro Forecast - Global tensions - but no recession

  • Challenging road ahead for the Nordics
  • Monetary policy will ease but not remove the pain
  • Markets will remain uneasy


Link to full report

Christina Nyman

Chief Economist

Global Research

chny09@handelsbanken.se

Latest analyses

2019-08-21

Global macro forecast

2019-08-21

Global konjunkturprognos

2018-11-22

Aktuell ekonomi

Latest publications in

Global macro forecast — Global tensions - but no recession

• Challenging road ahead for the Nordics
• Monetary policy will ease but not remove the pain
• Markets will remain uneasy

Christina Nyman, Chief Economist | chny09@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Finland — Decline in unemployment rate has come to a halt

  1. Unemployment rate (SA) at 6.6 percent in July
  2. Employment fell from the previous year
  3. We expect the unemployment rate will bottom out in 2019-20

Janne Ronkanen, Senior Economist | jaro06@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Housing prices stable in July, but remain on track to beat our expectations for 2019

  1. HOX housing prices unchanged in July, but rising on an annual basis
  2. The rise is broad, even if some big cities wrestle with unique issues
  3. We have assumed roughly flat housing prices 2019, but developments thus far look better; risks ahead!

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Norway — Morgenrapport

  1. Se opp for pengepolitiske signaler denne uken fra Jackson Hole og fra referatene til Fed og
  2. Her hjemme får vi investeringstellingen for olje- og gass – estimatet for neste år er nok mest spennende
  3. AKU-ledigheten har trolig vært uendret på 3,4% i juni (mai-juli snitt)

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Preview: Investment survey oil & gas and survey unemployment

  1. Investment survey to confirm solid growth impulse in 2019...
  2. ...outlook for 2020 more uncertain, and the upcoming survey will probably offer little clarity
  3. Survey unemployment expected to be unchanged in June (three months of May-July)

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no