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Global Macro Forecast - Global economy on shaky ground

  • A downturn is imminent
  • Time for politicians to step up
  • Interest rates remain low


Global Konjunkturprognos - Världsekonomin på skakig grund


  • Nu vänder konjunkturen ned
  • Upp till bevis för politikerna
  • Räntorna förblir låga

Christina Nyman

Head of Forecasting

Global Research

Latest analyses


Aktuell ekonomi


Swedish Rate Wrap



Latest publications in

Fast Comment Norway — Preview: Investment survey oil and gas, Q1 2019

  1. Investment survey due next Thursday
  2. 2019 will see a solid investment gain; some upside risk to NB’s estimate…
  3. …but the outlook further ahead appears to be weaker

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist |

Fast Comment Sweden — Unemployment in January: Below expectations

  1. Unemployment at 6.5 percent (6.0 percent SA)
  2. Employment continued to rise
  3. Leading indicators point to more modest employment growth ahead

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist |

Fast Comment Sweden — Preview: Housing prices in January

  1. Stable housing price trend in 2018, what next?
  2. Figures from Svensk Mäklarstatistik indicate a small seasonally-adjusted decline
  3. The stable trend is likely to continue, but higher supply and the global downturn pose risks

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist |

UK Comment — January inflation: in line with BoE and small impact

  1. Temporary effects from energy prices
  2. In line with the BoE prediction
  3. CPI overshadowed by Brexit

Lars Henriksson, Strategist |

Fast Comment Sweden — Riksbank holds rates, repeats autumn rate-hike plans

  1. Riksbank holds rates, repeats autumn rate-hike plans
  2. Krona strengthens, rates a touch higher
  3. Autumn hike still our baseline scenario

Claes Måhlén, Chief Strategist |

UK Comment — Disappointing GDP number from the UK

  1. The lowest rate of expansion since 2012
  2. Businesses cut investment for a fourth consecutive quarter
  3. We continue to see 2019 growth of 1.3 percent

Lars Henriksson, Strategist |