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Global Macro Forecast - Global economy on shaky ground

  • A downturn is imminent
  • Time for politicians to step up
  • Interest rates remain low

   

Global Konjunkturprognos - Världsekonomin på skakig grund

 

  • Nu vänder konjunkturen ned
  • Upp till bevis för politikerna
  • Räntorna förblir låga
   

Christina Nyman

Head of Forecasting

Global Research

chny09@handelsbanken.se

Latest analyses

2018-11-22

Aktuell ekonomi

2018-09-13

Swedish Rate Wrap

2018-09-13

Ränterullen

Latest publications in

Fast Comment Finland — Finnish industrial output rose by 3.7 percent in 2018

  1. Industrial production grew 3.3 percent y-o-y in December
  2. Goods export growth slowed steadily down during 2018
  3. Finnish export suffering from the weakening global demand and supply chain problems

Janne Ronkanen, Senior Economist | jaro06@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Norway — Preview: CPI-ATE in January expected to run above Norge Bank’s estimate

  1. CPI-ATE expected at 2.3 percent in January, up from 2.1 percent in December
  2. Norges Bank has forecast 2.16 percent
  3. Adds to our expectation of a rate hike in March

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Mainland GDP growth bouncing back; rate hike in March

  1. Mainland GDP growth of 0.9 percent in Q4; matching our estimate and above consensus and Norges Bank
  2. Rising petroleum investments will continue to add to growth in 2019
  3. Rate hike in March

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Sweden — Inflation still above target, but no policy change expected at Riksbank's February meeeting

  1. All is set for an uneventful policy meeting
  2. But upcoming repo rate rises also uncertain
  3. The Riksbank is not ready to end QE and will not be hasty in announcing its intentions, we believe

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

UK comment — Bank of England leaves rates unchanged - a touch more dovish than expected

  1. Policy rate unchanged at 0.75 percent, QE programme also unchanged
  2. Global economy revised down
  3. Same wording on monetary policy

Lars Henriksson, Strategist | lahe06@handelsbanken.se