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Global Macro Forecast - Global economy on shaky ground

  • A downturn is imminent
  • Time for politicians to step up
  • Interest rates remain low


Global Konjunkturprognos - Världsekonomin på skakig grund


  • Nu vänder konjunkturen ned
  • Upp till bevis för politikerna
  • Räntorna förblir låga

Christina Nyman

Head of Forecasting

Global Research

Latest analyses


Aktuell ekonomi


Swedish Rate Wrap



Latest publications in

UK Comment — January inflation: in line with BoE and small impact

  1. Temporary effects from energy prices
  2. In line with the BoE prediction
  3. CPI overshadowed by Brexit

Lars Henriksson, Strategist |

Fast Comment Sweden — Riksbank holds rates, repeats autumn rate-hike plans

  1. Riksbank holds rates, repeats autumn rate-hike plans
  2. Krona strengthens, rates a touch higher
  3. Autumn hike still our baseline scenario

Claes Måhlén, Chief Strategist |

UK Comment — Disappointing GDP number from the UK

  1. The lowest rate of expansion since 2012
  2. Businesses cut investment for a fourth consecutive quarter
  3. We continue to see 2019 growth of 1.3 percent

Lars Henriksson, Strategist |

Fast Comment Sweden — Business sector production in December: stronger than expected

  1. Production growth supports our view of accelerating GDP in Q4
  2. Construction sector continues to weigh on the total, despite a spike in December
  3. We continue to expect a gradual slowdown in coming years

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist |

Fast Comment Norway — CPI-ATE lower than generally expected, but deviation to NB not significant (rate hike in March)

  1. CPI-ATE unchanged in January, at 2.1 pct
  2. We and consensus expected 2.3 pct
  3. Norges Bank had 2.16 pct; deviation not significant (rate hike March)

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist |