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Global konjunkturprognos

Räntehöjningar trots lägre tillväxt

  • Geopolitiska risker dominerar
  • Fortsatt splittrad bild av världskonjunkturen
  • Världens centralbanker trotsar oro
  • Riksbanken fortsätter med räntehöjningar efter vinterns första steg

Ann Öberg

Head of Economic Research

Chief Economist Global Research

Latest analyses


Global konjunkturprognos


Global Macro Forecast


Global konjunkturprognos

Latest publications in

Macro Forecast Norway — Cruising speed, but increasing turbulence

• Norwegian oil heating counters global cooling
• Interest rates on the way up, but not by much
• "Goldilocks" housing market; not too hot, not too cold
• Increasing protectionism is a downside risk to the outlook

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway |

Global Macro Forecast — Interest rate hikes despite lower growth

• Geopolitical risks dominate
• Divergence in global growth
• Central banks defy concerns

Ann Öberg, Head of Economic Research |

Fast Comment Sweden — Business sector production data mixed in September

  1. Production growth somewhat below expectations, but keep calm
  2. Manufacturing and services sectors still decent; construction weighs on the total
  3. Indicators support growth ahead, in line with our GDP outlook; new report out tomorrow

Johan Löf, Senior Economist |

Fast Comment Norway — Housing prices continue to level out; Oslo a touch weaker than the national average (S.A)

  1. Housing prices at 0 percent m-o-m in October, seasonally adjusted
  2. Oslo a touch weaker: -0.1 percent, seasonally adjusted
  3. Overall, housing prices continue to level out

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist |

UK Comment — PMI surveys point to decelerating GDP growth

  1. Services PMI down to 52.2 in October, pulled down by new and current business
  2. Future expectations in services sector the lowest since July 2016
  3. PMI composite down to 52.1 in October from 54.1 in September

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway |

Fast Comment US — Wage growth jumped to a nine-year high

  1. No sign of slowing in employment growth
  2. Wage growth jumped to a nine-year high
  3. Fed still on track for rate hike in December

Anders Bergvall, Senior Economist |