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EMU Comment — PMI surprises on the upside in September

  1. PMI regained the lost territory
  2. Both German and French business confidence surprised strongly on the upside
  3. Supports ECB’s plans of removing stimulus

Rasmus Gudum-Sessingø, Senior Economist | ragu02@handelsbanken.dk

Morgenrapport Norge —

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Morgenmelding Danmark —

Rasmus Gudum-Sessingø, Senior Economist | ragu02@handelsbanken.dk

Sweden Comment — Preview of September sentiment indicators and August retail sales

  1. Retail sales growth likely eased in August, but still support decent consumption growth in Q3
  2. Overall sentiment to edge down, as expectations for business and consumer sentiment indicators are mixed
  3. Consumer confidence, all of a sudden, close to historical average, after a period of strength

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Norway — Norges Bank more hawkish than expected

  1. Norges Bank more bullish on the real economy
  2. 30% probability of a hike in September next year
  3. First hike fully priced in by June 2019; three more hikes foreseen in 2020

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no