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Fast Comment Sweden — Housing prices in May

  1. Housing prices increased slightly; closely in line with expectations
  2. Overall turnover has slowed, but the number of houses sold was rather in line with last year
  3. Step by step, housing prices appear to be stabilising

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist | hebo12@handelsbanken.se

Morgenrapport Norge —

Halfdan Grangård, Senior Economist | hagr11@handelsbanken.no

Morgenmelding Danmark —

Jes Asmussen, Chief Economist Denmark | jeas01@handelsbanken.dk

EMU Comment — The ECB expects to hike rates in September 2019 at the earliest

  1. ECB ends QE as expected and gives more explicit guidance on rates
  2. Inflation forecast revised up, but growth forecast revised down
  3. Rate hike in September at the earliest?

Rasmus Gudum-Sessingø, Senior Economist | ragu02@handelsbanken.dk

Macro Comment Norway — Norges Bank to stick with March strategy

In March, Norges Bank indicated that the policy rate would be lifted by September this year. Beyond that, the central bank expected six more rate increases by the end of 2021. Since March, inflation has once again disappointed; in isolation, this suggests a lower policy rate path. On the other hand, the real economy is showing few signs of faltering and the oil price and housing market have been stronger than expected. We believe Norges Bank will present a forecast for the policy rate that is little changed from March, still indicating that the first rate increase will come in September.

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no