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Morgenrapport Norge —

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Morgenmelding Danmark —

Rasmus Gudum-Sessingø, Senior Economist | ragu02@handelsbanken.dk

Macro Comment Norway — Norges Bank basically on track

Compared with Norges Bank's expectations from June, different factors are simultaneously buoying and weighing on the interest rate path. However, the negative and positive shocks are close to offsetting each other. Accordingly, we believe Norges Bank's new path for the policy rate will not change much from the June trajectory, implying an unchanged policy rate until the second half of 2019.

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no

UK Comment — A markedly more hawkish tone from the Bank of England

  1. More weight put on tight labour market
  2. Trade-off between weak real economy and high inflation seen as less pronounced
  3. Majority expects policy tightening to be appropriate over coming months

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no