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Fast Comment China

Fast Comment China — Property sector cool down weighs on growth

  1. Retail sales growth disappointed in October
  2. Services not captured by retail sales figures

Bjarke Roed-Frederiksen, Senior Economist | bjro03@handelsbanken.dk

Fast Comment China — Party congress in full swing

  1. Long-term growth target not mentioned
  2. SOE reforms among main economic policy priorities
  3. Leadership for the coming five years to be formed

Bjarke Roed-Frederiksen, Senior Economist | bjro03@handelsbanken.dk

Fast Comment China — Growth was still strong in Q3

  1. GDP growth fell only marginally to 6.8 percent in Q3
  2. Monthly indicators improved in September

Bjarke Roed-Frederiksen, Senior Economist | bjro03@handelsbanken.dk

Fast Comment China — Activity indicators signal growth slowdown

  1. All three indicators disappointed in August
  2. Infrastructure is dragging down fixed investments
  3. Growth set to slow gradually

Bjarke Roed-Frederiksen, Senior Economist | bjro03@handelsbanken.dk

Fast Comment China — PMIs surprisingly back at strong levels

  1. Both manufacturing PMIs increased unexpectedly
  2. Likely driven by higher commodity prices
  3. Slowdown ahead

Bjarke Roed-Frederiksen, Senior Economist | bjro03@handelsbanken.dk

Fast Comment China — The downward trend for activity growth is back

  1. Gradual growth slowdown continues
  2. Only bright spot in July: Infrastructure investments
  3. We raise our GDP forecast

Bjarke Roed-Frederiksen, Senior Economist | bjro03@handelsbanken.dk