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Fast Comment China

Fast Comment China — Stable economic growth

  1. GDP growth reported at 6.8 percent y-o-y in Q4
  2. Sharp decline in retail sales growth in December
  3. Gradual growth slowdown ahead

Bjarke Roed-Frederiksen, Senior Economist | bjro03@handelsbanken.dk

Fast Commment China — The PBoC raises borrowing cost amid mixed growth signals

  1. Growth indicators mixed in November
  2. Interest rate hike with limited real impact
  3. We see growth slowing

Bjarke Roed-Frederiksen, Senior Economist | bjro03@handelsbanken.dk

Fast Comment China — Manufacturing PMIs send mixed signals

  1. Markit PMI slightly down, but official PMI slightly up
  2. Economic growth is slowing

Bjarke Roed-Frederiksen, Senior Economist | bjro03@handelsbanken.dk

Fast Comment China — Property sector cool down weighs on growth

  1. Retail sales growth disappointed in October
  2. Services not captured by retail sales figures

Bjarke Roed-Frederiksen, Senior Economist | bjro03@handelsbanken.dk

Fast Comment China — Party congress in full swing

  1. Long-term growth target not mentioned
  2. SOE reforms among main economic policy priorities
  3. Leadership for the coming five years to be formed

Bjarke Roed-Frederiksen, Senior Economist | bjro03@handelsbanken.dk

Fast Comment China — Growth was still strong in Q3

  1. GDP growth fell only marginally to 6.8 percent in Q3
  2. Monthly indicators improved in September

Bjarke Roed-Frederiksen, Senior Economist | bjro03@handelsbanken.dk