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Fast Comment Denmark

Fast Comment Denmark — Period of extremely low inflation is behind us

  1. CPI rose 0.1% m-o-m in October - slightly above our forecast (0.0%)
  2. Annual CPI inflation fell from 1.6% to 1.5% - we expected 1.4%
  3. We expect inflation to pick up further in 2018

Jes Asmussen, Chief Economist Denmark | jeas01@handelsbanken.dk

Fast Comment Denmark — Unemployment declined again

  1. Gross unemployment fell from 119,400 to 117,800 persons in September
  2. Unemployment rate steady at 4.4%
  3. Indicates solid labour market following swings in latest months

Jes Asmussen, Chief Economist Denmark | jeas01@handelsbanken.dk

Fast Comment Denmark — Inflation ticks up in September

  1. CPI rose 0.1% m-o-m in September; above our forecast (-0.1% m-o-m)
  2. Annual inflation ticked up from 1.5% to 1.6%; highest since December 2012
  3. We expect the inflation rate to rise further in 2018

Jes Asmussen, Chief Economist Denmark | jeas01@handelsbanken.dk

Fast Comment Denmark — Finally some life in industrial production

  1. Industrial production rose 4.0% m-o-m in August; better than expected
  2. Trend in production still slightly negative
  3. Industrial confidence indicates improvement ahead

Jes Asmussen, Chief Economist Denmark | jeas01@handelsbanken.dk

Fast Comment Denmark — Industrial production disappoints, again

  1. Industrial production declined by 0.8% m-o-m in July; weaker than expected
  2. The decrease comes despite upbeat signals from industrial barometers
  3. Weak starting point for Q3

Jes Asmussen, Chief Economist Denmark | jeas01@handelsbanken.dk

Fast Comment Denmark — Slightly weaker signal from business barometers

  1. Industrial sentiment disappointed, dropping from 6 to 0 in August
  2. Service sentiment was unchanged at 9, while construction fell from -3 to -4
  3. Overall, the barometers still indicate decent growth

Jes Asmussen, Chief Economist Denmark | jeas01@handelsbanken.dk