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Eurozone

EMU Comment — Minutes with a hawkish touch

  1. ECB communication could be revisited in early 2018
  2. ECB to tread carefully, but turn more hawkish

Rasmus Gudum-Sessingø, Senior Economist | ragu02@handelsbanken.dk

EMU Comment — ECB more upbeat about growth but sees a slow inflation pick up

  1. No change in policy or guidance
  2. Significant upward revision to growth, but a slow pick up in inflation
  3. ECB still underestimates inflation

Rasmus Gudum-Sessingø, Senior Economist | ragu02@handelsbanken.dk

EMU Comment — PMI keeps surprising on the positive side

  1. Activity finishes 2017 on a stronger note
  2. Manufacturing softness transitory
  3. Supports higher ECB forecasts

Rasmus Gudum-Sessingø, Senior Economist | ragu02@handelsbanken.dk

EMU Comment — Modest inflation keeps ECB's hand steady

  1. Unemployment rate unexpectedly continues its descent
  2. Inflation lower than expected
  3. Steady ECB signal in December

Rasmus Gudum-Sessingø, Senior Economist | ragu02@handelsbanken.dk

EMU Comment — Economy gaining momentum toward year-end

  1. Surprise surge in PMI
  2. France in the lead
  3. Employment growth the strongest since 2000

Rasmus Gudum-Sessingø, Senior Economist | ragu02@handelsbanken.dk

EMU Comment — Improving economy but modest inflation

  1. Improvement in real economy fails to translate to higher inflation
  2. Robust GDP growth to continue
  3. Weaker-than-expected inflation

Rasmus Gudum-Sessingø, Senior Economist | ragu02@handelsbanken.dk