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Eurozone

EMU Comment — Inflation higher than expected; but mind the Easter effect

  1. Core inflation back up at a six-month high
  2. Another source of comfort for the ECB

Rasmus Gudum-Sessingø, Senior Economist | ragu02@handelsbanken.dk

EMU Comment — Better growth and unemployment numbers than expected

  1. GDP growth has stabilised
  2. Unemployment rate declined another notch
  3. The ECB might find some comfort in the numbers

Rasmus Gudum-Sessingø, Senior Economist | ragu02@handelsbanken.dk

EMU Comment — Downbeat ECB - details on TLTROIII and mitigating tools coming up

  1. Growth momentum slowing - no details of TLTROIII and mitigating tools yet
  2. We expect focus on ECB easing to strengthen

Rasmus Gudum-Sessingø, Senior Economist | ragu02@handelsbanken.dk

Global Macro Forecast — Meagre shelter for the global economy

• Economic slowdown and long period of weak growth
• Persistent political worries; households increasingly cautious
• Central banks change course, but their toolboxes look empty

Lena Fahlén, Head of Economic Research | leli15@handelsbanken.se

EMU Comment — PMI disappoints due to worsening manufacturing agony

  1. Composite PMI decreased unexpectedly in March
  2. German manufacturing confidence back at 2012 lows

Rasmus Gudum-Sessingø, Senior Economist | ragu02@handelsbanken.dk

EMU Comment — ECB postpones rate hikes, announces TLTRO3

  1. ECB changes rate hike guidance, sees rates on hold througout 2019
  2. TLTRO3 announced
  3. Softer than expected

Claes Måhlén, Chief Strategist | clma02@handelsbanken.se