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Eurozone

EMU Comment — Manufacturing sentiment continues to retreat

  1. Manufacturing PMI at a 21-month low…
  2. …probably still burdened by trade concerns
  3. But inflation picture still firming

Rasmus Gudum-Sessingø, Senior Economist | ragu02@handelsbanken.dk

Global macro forecast — A diverging world

• Geopolitical risks dominate
• US and China dictating the pace
• Shift in economic cycle imminent - slowdown in the pipeline

Ann Öberg, Head of Economic Research | anob04@handelsbanken.se

EMU Comment — Weaker growth but higher inflation

  1. GDP growth slowed to 0.3% q-o-q in Q2 - weaker than expected
  2. Inflation rose further above the ECB's goal in July
  3. Unemployment steady at 8.3% in June

Jes Asmussen, Chief Economist Denmark | jeas01@handelsbanken.dk

EMU Comment — Economic confidence drops to lowest level in a year

  1. Economic Sentiment Index fell from 112.3 to 112.1 in July (estimated 112.0)
  2. Confirms weaker growth momentum
  3. Global trade uncertainty may be gaining

Jes Asmussen, Chief Economist Denmark | jeas01@handelsbanken.dk

EMU Comment — Trade fears beginning to weigh?

  1. Flash PMI surprises on the upside
  2. Underlying signs of mounting trade war fears
  3. Lower but stable GDP growth for now

Jes Asmussen, Chief Economist Denmark | jeas01@handelsbanken.dk

EMU Comment — PMI rises for the first time in five months

  1. Composite PMI surprised on the upside...
  2. ...due to stronger Service PMI
  3. Employment and inflation improved

Rasmus Gudum-Sessingø, Senior Economist | ragu02@handelsbanken.dk