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EMU Comment — Growth outlook a little weaker; but acknowledges wage growth

  1. Little new information
  2. Growth outlook a little weaker, but rising wages noted
  3. December policy meeting possibly a bit more interesting

Rasmus Gudum-Sessingø, Senior Economist |

EMU Comment — Core inflation weaker, but unemployment lower

  1. Core inflation decreased
  2. But unemployment rate lower
  3. Neutral for the ECB

Rasmus Gudum-Sessingø, Senior Economist |

EMU Comment — Manufacturing sentiment continues to retreat

  1. Manufacturing PMI at a 21-month low…
  2. …probably still burdened by trade concerns
  3. But inflation picture still firming

Rasmus Gudum-Sessingø, Senior Economist |

Global macro forecast — A diverging world

• Geopolitical risks dominate
• US and China dictating the pace
• Shift in economic cycle imminent - slowdown in the pipeline

EMU Comment — Weaker growth but higher inflation

  1. GDP growth slowed to 0.3% q-o-q in Q2 - weaker than expected
  2. Inflation rose further above the ECB's goal in July
  3. Unemployment steady at 8.3% in June

Jes Asmussen, Chief Economist Denmark |

EMU Comment — Economic confidence drops to lowest level in a year

  1. Economic Sentiment Index fell from 112.3 to 112.1 in July (estimated 112.0)
  2. Confirms weaker growth momentum
  3. Global trade uncertainty may be gaining

Jes Asmussen, Chief Economist Denmark |