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Makroennuste, helmikuu 2017 — Näköpiirissä vellovaa kyytiä

• USA:n noususuhdanne tulossa hetkellisen piristymisen jälkeen päätepisteeseen
• EKP:lla iso vastuu harteillaan
• Hollannin Vapauspuolueen menestyksestä huolimatta Nexit epätodennäköinen
• Pohjoismaissa optimismi kasvaa

Tiina Helenius, Chief Economist Finland | tihe01@handelsbanken.se

Monthly Macro Update — No smooth sailing in sight

US: In for a boom/bust episode
Eurozone: A tall order for the ECB
Nordics: Growing confidence

Ann Öberg, Chief Economist | anob04@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Finland — Unemployment rate 8.6 percent in January

  1. Unemployment rate 8.6 percent in January
  2. Employment improved only slightly
  3. Manufacturing and construction jobs lifting employment

Janne Ronkanen, Economist | jaro06@handelsbanken.se

Global Macro Comment — Can Trump reverse globalisation?

President Donald Trump claims that countries with large trade surpluses are stealing jobs from the US. Therefore, he wants to reverse existing trade deals, which have made it possible to move American jobs to low-cost countries. However, historically, trying to move jobs between countries has had a bad track record. In the 1930s, it led to aggressive trade wars. In our view, common sense should prevail to stop politicians, including Donald Trump, from implementing such policies before a full-scale trade war ensues.

Petter Lundvik, Economist | pelu16@handelsbanken.se

Markkinakatsaus — Viikko 8/2017

Ranskan Le Pen aiheuttaa jo pieniä korkoväristyksiä
• Fed normalisoi korkotason ennen taseensa pienentämistä

Janne Ronkanen, Economist | jaro06@handelsbanken.se

Markkinakatsaus — Viikko 7/2017

  • Kiina ehkäisee pääomapakoa ja liiallista velkaantumista

Janne Ronkanen, Economist | jaro06@handelsbanken.se