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All Macro Forecasts

Talousennuste — Uudistusten lykkääntyminen tulisi Suomelle kalliiksi!

- Maailmantalous: Sirpaleista kasvua
- Euroalue: Talouden yhteinen tahti yhä hukassa
- Suomi: Uudistusten lykkääntyminen tulisi Suomelle kalliiksi!
- Iso-Britannian EU-kansanäänestys: Selviääkö EU, jos Britannia lähtee...tai jos se jää?

Tiina Helenius, Chief Economist Finland | tihe01@handelsbanken.se

Finnish Macro Forecast — Lost reform push would cost Finland dearly

- Global economy: A fragmented recovery
- Eurozone: Still out of sync
- Finland: Lost reform push would cost Finland dearly!
- UK's EU referendum: Will the EU survive if the UK leaves...or if it stays?

Tiina Helenius, Chief Economist Finland | tihe01@handelsbanken.se

Svensk konjunkturprognos — Ojämn återhämtning med några ljusglimtar

- USA: Lägre räntetopp
- Euroområdet: Fortfarande i otakt
- Brexit: Överlever EU om Storbritannien lämnar…eller stannar?
- Sverige: Utbudsrestriktioner bromsar tillväxten
- Råvaror: Mötet i Doha ändrade riskbilden

Global macro forecast — Patchy recovery with bright spots

- US: Lower interest rate peak
- Eurozone: Still out of sync
- United Kingdom: Brexit or "Bremain"?
- Nordics: Mostly headwinds but strong tailwinds for Sweden
- Commodities: Doha meeting changed the risk profile for oil prices

Macro Forecast Norway — Headwinds from all sides

- Chinese slowdown, stagnating productivity and global political uncertainty
- Norway remains a high-cost country, which slows down the rebalancing process
- Households rein in spending due to high uncertainty and stricter banks
- Negative interest rates and a bulging state war chest can still prevent recession

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no

Konjunkturrapport — Nordavind fra alle kanter

- Kinesisk avmatning, langsommere produktivitetsvekst og politisk usikkerhet globalt
- Norge er fortsatt et høykostnadsland, noe som forsinker rebalanseringen
- Husholdningene strammer inn grunnet høy usikkerhet og strengere banker
- Negative renter og en proppfull statlig krigskasse kan stadig hindre resesjon

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no