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Fast Comment Norway

Fast Comment Norway — A batch of Norwegian key data coming up

  1. LFS unemployment expected at 4.2 percent, registered unemployment at 2.5/2.6 percent (unadjusted/seasonally adjusted)
  2. Credit indicator growth expected at 5.8 percent, up from 5.7 percent in July; driven by non-financials
  3. Retail spending estimated at 0.1 percent in August, following 0.4 percent in July

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Norges Bank more hawkish than expected

  1. Norges Bank more bullish on the real economy
  2. 30% probability of a hike in September next year
  3. First hike fully priced in by June 2019; three more hikes foreseen in 2020

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Norges Bank's Regional Network: Pace of output growth to slow

  1. Pace of output growth to slow
  2. Uncertainty in the housing market is weighing on expectations...
  3. ...but the downward revision to the overall growth outlook was broad based

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Core inflation in August much lower than expected

  1. CPI-ATE at 0.9 percent in August, down from 1.2 percent in July
  2. Well below market expectations at 1.4 percent
  3. Closer to NBs estimate at 1.1 percent

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Preview: core inflation (CPI-ATE) and Norges Bank’s Regional Network

  1. CPI-ATE (Monday) and Norges Bank's Regional Network (Tuesday)
  2. Regional Network: sustained near-term momentum
  3. CPI-ATE hovering above Norges Bank’s estimates

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Strong manufacturing production, but weaker than expected credit growth in July

  1. Manufacturing output increased by 1.9 percent in July; above expectations
  2. The oil-service-generated downturn in overall manufacturing production is now comfortably behind us
  3. Credit indicator growth at 5.7 percent in July; below expectations

Halfdan Grangård, Senior Economist | hagr11@handelsbanken.no