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Fast Comment Norway

Fast Comment Norway — Gjedrem committee delivers proposal for new central bank act

  1. Separation of oil fund and monetary policy
  2. A more focused and dedicated monetary policy committee, central bank to decide on financial stability measures
  3. Monetary policy targets up for regular revision

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Norges Bank slightly more hawkish than expected

  1. Norges Bank kept policy rate unchanged and removed likelihood of a near-term rate cut
  2. Real economy stronger, but inflation once again falling short
  3. Norges Bank's inflation forecast still too optimistic, in our view; planned hikes will have to be postponed

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Survey unemployment marginally above expectations

  1. LFS unemployment at 4.6 percent in April, following 4.5 percent in March
  2. We and consensus expected 4.5 percent
  3. The bigger picture: fairly stable

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Labour market preview: LFS unemployment expected unchanged at 4.5 percent

  1. LFS unemployment expected unchanged at 4.5 percent
  2. LFS unemployment has trended lower since last summer
  3. Subpar employment growth thus far, but the outlook is brighter

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Regional Network signals stronger growth ahead

  1. Output expectations revised upward
  2. Stronger than generally expected
  3. Norges Bank to revise up its assessment of the output gap

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Norges Bank’s Regional Network report preview – due Tuesday, June 13

  1. Output growth indicator probably a tad higher
  2. Confirming the gradual recovery, but be careful about extrapolating the recent data points
  3. Now the real test comes; boost from housing market and fiscal spending gradually abating

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no