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Fast Comment Norway

Fast Comment Norway — CPI-ATE unchanged in June at 2.3 percent, slightly below expectations

  1. CPI-ATE unchanged at 2.3 percent, expected 2.4 percent
  2. Deviation too small to affect the key policy rate path
  3. Rate hike in September still a possibility; signalled at about a 70 percent chance by Norges Bank

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Preview: Core inflation in June

  1. The CPI-ATE expected slightly higher again in June; 2.4 pct, following 2.3 pct in May
  2. In line with Norges Bank; hence, neutral to the key policy rate path
  3. Recall the additional volatility in the CPI-ATE during the summer months

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Manufacturing output: Strong production growth, driven by oil-supplying industries

  1. Manufacturing output increased further in May; well above expectations
  2. Particularly high activity in petroleum-related manufacturing
  3. Non-oil manufacturing sector slowing on the back on weaker global demand

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Housing prices rose further in June

  1. Housing prices up by 0.6 percent in June, following 0.5 percent in May
  2. Some price acceleration over the past 2 months
  3. We remind about our positive call for the housing market in 2019

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Temporary trade truce offers a welcome boost to markets, but long-standing areas of conflict remain

  1. Temporary trade truce offers a welcome boost to markets
  2. Long-standing areas of conflict remain and already-imposed tariffs continue to dampen global growth
  3. Mainland GDP (Norway) holding up well, however, boosted by a sharp rise in petroleum investment

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Senior Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Registered unemployment at 2.1% in June, in line with expectations

  1. Registered as well as survey unemployment falling
  2. The labour market improvement has further to go

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no