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Fast Comment Norway

Fast Comment Norway — CPI-ATE well below expectations in December 2016

  1. CPI-ATE at 2.5 percent y-o-y in December, down from 2.6 percent in November
  2. Food prices failed to pull up CPI-ATE in December

Halfdan Grangård, Economist | hagr11@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Still negative trend in manufacturing; surprisingly low household debt growth

  1. Manufacturing output has contracted by 0.6 percent over the past three months
  2. Surprisingly low household debt growth in November...
  3. ...but Norges Bank will continue to lean against the wind

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Housing prices rose by 1.1 percent m-o-m in December (S.A.), slightly above Norges Bank's estimate

  1. Housing prices rose by 1.1 percent m-o-m in December (S.A.), from 0.8 percent in November
  2. Annual rate increased from 11.6 to 12.8 percent, mostly due to a base effect
  3. Price growth slightly above Norges Bank's estimate

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Retail spending rose by 0.2 percent in November, in line with consensus expectations

  1. Retail spending at 0.2 percent in November, following 0.9 percent in October
  2. In line with consensus expectations; weaker than we had assumed
  3. Uncertainties around the effect of Black Friday

Marius Gonsholt Hov, Economist | maho60@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate down from 3.0 percent in November to 2.9 percent

  1. Registered unemployment at 2.9 percent (unadjusted) in December
  2. Lower than expected unemployment, but scheme positions almost cancel out the fall

Halfdan Grangård, Economist | hagr11@handelsbanken.no

Fast Comment Norway — Survey unemployment sideways in October, as everyone expected

  1. LFS unemployment at 4.8 percent in October
  2. Survey unemployment in line with Norges Bank’s projections

Halfdan Grangård, Economist | hagr11@handelsbanken.no