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Sweden

Fast Comment Sweden — Housing prices in February

  1. February housing prices close to unchanged
  2. Prices for houses and apartments are slightly higher than in previous year
  3. Neither up nor down in 2019, we believe

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist | hebo12@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Labour market keeps on improving, a turn for the worse is still some way off

  1. February unemployment in line with expectations
  2. We see further downside to the jobless rate, despite spike in layoffs statistics
  3. Later this year, however, the cooling economy will take its toll on jobs

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Preview: Housing prices in February

  1. We expect the stable trend to continue, despite the weak January figure
  2. Regional differences, mainly on the new construction market
  3. Repo rate hike possible in September

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist | hebo12@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — February CPI shows no inflation rebound after last month's lower-than-expected reading

  1. Inflation eased marginally and underlying inflation appears to have remained muted
  2. Mopping up the package tour mess, part II: As expected, no rebound in travel prices
  3. Diminishing probability of Riksbank hike this year, but we maintain our forecast of a September move

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Preview of February CPI: no immediate rebound after lower-than-expected inflation last month

  1. Inflation expected sideways at 2 percent, while underlying inflation stays muted
  2. Unusually large risks to February estimate, after broad range of downside surprises last month
  3. Mopping up the package tour mess, part II?

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — January business sector production eased and growth will soften further, we forecast

  1. Production growth recoiled in January after healthy growth momentum lately
  2. Despite falling construction, overall growth held up well last year
  3. Expect a more tangible deceleration as manufacturing orders are no longer soaring

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se