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Sweden

Fast Comment Sweden — Unemployment in October

  1. Flat unemployment rate fully in line with expectations
  2. Sideways movement in unemployment is to some extent the result of matching problems
  3. Jobs growth still fast, but not all indicators support this pace going forward

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Inflation in October

  1. Inflation roughly in line with expectations
  2. Core inflation holding up well - Riksbank will not be worried by this outcome

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — House prices in October

  1. Second month with a slower rise
  2. The slowdown is broad-based
  3. The strong economy supports housing prices

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist | hebo12@handelsbanken.se

Sweden Comment — Preview of October inflation

  1. Inflation to fall below the Riksbank's target
  2. But the slightly more modest inflation numbers have been expected for a while

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Macro Comment Sweden — The EURSEK revisited

The Swedish krona has weakened lately, and as we do not see any near-term triggers for a marked decline in the EURSEK, we revise our forecast for Q4 to 9.60 (previously: 9.30). Moreover, we now expect the decline in the EURSEK in 2018 to be less pronounced, as the main driver, namely a turnaround in the Riksbank's policy, is not on the cards until the second half of the year.

Claes Måhlén, Chief Strategist | clma02@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Riksbank business cycle indicator continues to rise

  1. Further confirmation of high resource utilisation, following today's business survey data
  2. A boost for inflation going forward; nevertheless, we now expect the Riksbank on hold until Sep 2018
  3. Retail sales data a challenge to our consumption forecast

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se