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Sweden

Fast Comment Sweden — Swedish sentiment indicators in May

  1. Strong outcome, as expected
  2. Encouraging labour market signals one factor behind above-normal consumer sentiment
  3. The overall economic sentiment is an upward risk to our GDP forecast

Johan Löf, Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Preview of Swedish sentiment indicators

  1. Manufacturing confidence to cool, but consumer sentiment to strengthen
  2. The overall economic sentiment is an upward risk to our GDP forecast
  3. Encouraging labour market signals one factor behind above-normal consumer sentiment

Johan Löf, Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Swedish unemployment in April

    Unemployment rebounds as expected after low March reading - now back close to recent trend The Labour Force Survey reports a rebound in the April unemployment rate to 6.7/7.2 percent (seasonally adjusted/actual). The outcome was fully in line with our estimate and the most recent Riksbank forecast(quarterly average 6.7 percent, SA) and marginally higher than the consensus expectation (6.6/7.1 percent).

    Johan Löf, Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Preview of Swedish unemployment

  1. Unemployment in April expected to rebound from surprisingly low March reading
  2. Downward trend judged to be intact
  3. But official data likely paints too pretty a picture of recent labour market developments

Johan Löf, Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — The Riksbank publishes referral on monetary policy target variable

  1. The Riksbank aims to change monetary policy target
  2. No near-term effect on the monetary policy stance
  3. Difficulties in policy trade-off and communication not solved by abandoning CPI?

Johan Löf, Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Swedish inflation in April

  1. Inflation in April rebounded from weak March reading
  2. A substantial part of the surprise appears to be temporary
  3. Underlying inflation remains below CPIF inflation and the Riksbank's target

Johan Löf, Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se