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Fast Comment Sweden — Our new inflation forecast in three graphs

  1. Underlying inflation measures diverging lately but outlook is solid
  2. Lingering energy price boom keeps CPIF inflation above Riksbank target well into next year
  3. The Riksbank policy rate hiking cycle likely gradual but will significantly impact headline CPI inflation

Johan Löf, Senior Economist |

Global macro forecast — A diverging world

• Geopolitical risks dominate
• US and China dictating the pace
• Shift in economic cycle imminent - slowdown in the pipeline

Ann Öberg, Head of Economic Research |

Fast Comment Sweden — Unemployment to edge down in last print before Swedish elections: Preview of the week ahead

  1. Brighter labour market outlook; we release a new macro forecast Wednesday, August 22
  2. Residential building starts set to cool further, despite stable tendency in housing prices
  3. Will producer prices continue to pick up after slump?

Johan Löf, Senior Economist |

Fast Comment Sweden — Housing prices in July

  1. Small decline in housing prices in July
  2. Tenant-owned apartments continued to see a weaker trend than houses
  3. No increase in concern; we expect stable prices ahead

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist |

Fast Comment Sweden — Preview: Housing prices in July

  1. We expect the HOX index to show stable prices in July
  2. Sales activity is low, but normal for this summer month
  3. Activity will soon speed up, but the supply will also increase

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist |

Fast Comment Sweden — Inflation in July: better in line with the Riksbank after last month's miss

  1. Above the Riksbank's target
  2. Question marks surrounding CPIF excluding energy
  3. But underlying inflation holds up OK - we keep our Riksbank call

Johan Löf, Senior Economist |