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Sweden

Fast Comment Sweden — Inflation in January

  1. Inflation lower than expected...
  2. ...but this is partly due to the change in the CPI basket composition
  3. Worrying signs for future trends, mixed with positives; plenty of time for the Riksbank to digest the outcome

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Did this morning's Labour Force Survey pass you by unnoticed?

  1. Unemployment still trending down, but there is more to the outcome than meets the eye
  2. Available resources limited even before today's data
  3. Unemployment outcome a challenge to our forecast, but we await clearer evidence from indicators

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Preview of January inflation

  1. Not the thriller it could be: Inflation moving sideways
  2. Still, faced with a multitude of year-end effects, interpretation difficulties might emerge
  3. We struggle to find the service price weakness that the Riksbank highlighted yesterday

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Swedish Comment — Housing prices in January

  1. House prices increased by 3.4 percent m-o-m, which was stronger than expected
  2. The price increase in January was fairly broad-based
  3. High number of housing units for sale, despite the rise in transactions

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist | hebo12@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Riksbank monetary policy decision: No news that rocks the boat

  1. Outlook for repo rate more or less unchanged
  2. Non-negligible changes to inflation forecasts
  3. Ohlsson enters a reservation once again

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Aktuell ekonomi — Stark global konjunktur medför nya risker

Tillväxten i världen tog fart ordentligt under 2017 och överträffade alla förväntningar. Vi ser framför oss en stark inledning på 2018 och att allt fler länder går in i högkonjunktur. Det betyder att räntor kommer att stiga, vilket medför nya risker i en högt skuldsatt värld. Sverige gynnas av uppsvinget i omvärlds-ekonomin och även om utvecklingen på bostadsmarknaden är oroande, så ser vi framför oss att svensk ekonomi växer snabbt i år.

Christina Nyman, Head of Forecasting | chny09@handelsbanken.se