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Sweden

Fast Comment Sweden — September sentiment indicators

  1. Strong sentiment underscores that economic boom will go on
  2. Construction sector staying surprisingly positive - will that add to our forecast for 2019 GDP growth?
  3. Retail sector staying the course on autumn prices hikes, despite tough summer

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — After substantial downward revision of GDP last week, loads of new growth indicators in the week ahead

  1. First hesitant steps toward retail sales normalisation after tough summer
  2. Economic sentiment to recoil a bit, but remain at buoyant level
  3. Net exports to turn around and boost GDP in the third quarter

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Housing prices in August indicate that stabilisation continues

  1. Sideways trend continues after small monthly price rise
  2. Significant house price rise in a couple of regions
  3. Elevated supply to gradually dampen ahead, easing downward pressure on housing prices

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Inflation in August strengthens our forecast for Riksbank hike

  1. Inflation marginally lower than Riksbank forecast, as we had expected
  2. Stripping out noisy components, underlying inflation is well behaved, pointing to upswing ahead
  3. We stick to our forecast for a Riksbank hike in February 2019

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Downgrade of GDP growth in last few years; revisions in updated National Accounts

  1. Second quarter GDP growth revised down slightly q-o-q, compared to preliminary accounts
  2. But substantial downgrades to 2016 and 2017
  3. Overall outlook appears intact as underlying details remain quite strong

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Preview: Housing prices in August

  1. Signs of small price movements in August
  2. The housing market continues to chug along
  3. Regional differences likely to continue

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist | hebo12@handelsbanken.se