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Fast Comment Sweden — Sentiment indicators in July and unemployment in June

  1. ETI surprisingly rose, much due to strong signals from the manufacturing sector
  2. High labour shortages and capacity utilisation
  3. Unemployment slightly higher than expected but close to the bottom

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist | hebo12@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Housing prices in June

  1. Slow increases in housing prices in June (SA), no surprises in sight
  2. Persistently elevated supply of housing units up for sale
  3. Risks remain, but so far the overall trend has been closely in line with expectations

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist | hebo12@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Inflation in June: Another step on the path to December rate hike

  1. Inflation once again above the Riksbank's 2 percent
  2. Usual for this time of year, noisy components affect inflation...
  3. ...but underlying inflation AND energy prices are paving the way for a Riksbank rate hike in December

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Aktuell ekonomi — Vad blir nästa steg för EU?

Tio år efter att finanskrisen bröt ut växer Europas ekonomi åter i hygglig takt. Men skillnaderna mellan länderna  är stora och eurokrisen har bidragit till att populism och euroskeptiska partier är på fram-marsch. Och det finns stora brister inom valutaunionen och reformer och politisk vilja behövs för att skapa ett mer motståndskraftigt EU. I denna artikel tittar vi på vad som skulle kunna vara nästa steg för EU.

Lena Fahlén, Deputy Head of Economic Research | leli15@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Preview of June inflation: Remaining above the Riksbank target; risks tilted to the upside

  1. Inflation once again above 2 percent, but probably lower than the new Riksbank forecast
  2. Uncertainty elevated during summer months; we might be overly cautious
  3. Upward trends in energy prices and underlying inflation paving the way for a rate hike

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Business sector production in May: only a temporary spike?

  1. Strong headline production reading masks weaker underlying trend
  2. Spike in construction likely temporary, while manufacturing growth seems to be cooling
  3. In line with our forecast for a gradual GDP growth slowdown over the next year

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se