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Fast Comment Sweden — October inflation - poor at first glance, but underlying strength

  1. Somewhat below the Riksbank's forecast
  2. But not all bad in terms of underlying inflation
  3. We still forecast a policy rate hike this winter

Johan Löf, Senior Economist |

Fast Comment Sweden — Preview: Housing prices in October

  1. Stable trend and high activity, according to Svensk Mäklarstatistik
  2. But the monthly HOX figure will be negative and the y-o-y figure will rise, in our view
  3. New Global Macro Forecast released earlier this week

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist |

Fast Comment Sweden — Preview of inflation in October; Unemployment data also released in week ahead

  1. Does October CPI have a role to play in the Riksbank's next policy decision?
  2. We stick to our forecast of gradually rising underlying inflation over the next couple of years
  3. Some risks to October inflation; keep an eye on the unemployment report

Johan Löf, Senior Economist |

Global Macro Forecast — Interest rate hikes despite lower growth

• Geopolitical risks dominate
• Divergence in global growth
• Central banks defy concerns

Ann Öberg, Head of Economic Research |

Fast Comment Sweden — Business sector production data mixed in September

  1. Production growth somewhat below expectations, but keep calm
  2. Manufacturing and services sectors still decent; construction weighs on the total
  3. Indicators support growth ahead, in line with our GDP outlook; new report out tomorrow

Johan Löf, Senior Economist |

Fast Comment Sweden — September puts retail back on track; foreign trade likely added to GDP in third quarter

  1. Plummeting goods imports as car sales stall
  2. Exports sideways in third quarter; all-in-all, it signals a positive net exports contribution to GDP
  3. Retail sales continue on a moderate growth trend

Johan Löf, Senior Economist |