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All Swedish Publications

Fast Comment Sweden — GDP growth surprised on the upside in Q4

  1. GDP growth at 1.2 percent in Q4 (seasonally adjusted), following the plunge in the third quarter
  2. Strong exports fuelled by weak krona, but investments a disappointment
  3. Rebound in household consumption, but consumption of vehicles continues to dampen growth

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist | hebo12@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — February surveys show mixed signals

  1. ETI shows continued strength in the economy
  2. Mainly driven by a strong manufacturing sector
  3. However, households stay surprisingly pessimistic

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist | hebo12@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Week ahead: GDP back on its feet, but economic sentiment to cool further

  1. GDP not showing a technical recession, we forecast
  2. Economic sentiment in gradual descent
  3. Stay alert on shaky retail sales

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Inflation disappoints, adding to Riksbank worries ahead of April meeting

  1. Inflation well short of expectations
  2. But volatile components explain most of our forecast error - partly temporary?
  3. For the time being, we stick to our view of decent inflation developments in 2019

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Aktuell ekonomi — Undervärderad krona förstärks gradvis

Även om växelkurser varierar mycket och är svåra att förutse kan makroekonomiska faktorer, som produktivitet och bytesbalansen, förklara växelkursutvecklingen ganska väl på lång sikt. Växelkursen kan vara över- eller undervärderad under relativt långa perioder, men tenderar på sikt att röra sig mot sitt jämviktsläge. Vår nya långsiktiga växelkursmodell indikerar att kronan är undervärderad mot samtliga större valutor, förutom mot den japanska yenen. På fem års sikt bedömer vi att kronan förstärks till 7,50 mot dollarn och 9,50 mot euron.

Anders Bergvall, Senior Economist | anbe83@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Housing prices up in January, but exceptionally low monthly figure

  1. Stagnated price trend as expected
  2. Some regional differences, but mind the volatility
  3. New completions to peak this year and housing prices remain close to unchanged, we believe

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist | hebo12@handelsbanken.se