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Fast Comment Sweden

Fast Comment Sweden — Sentiment data in June

  1. Mixed signals behind overall upbeat sentiment in June
  2. Overall economic sentiment continues to challenge our GDP outlook
  3. Manufacturing confidence did not drop like the PMI has recently

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Unemployment in May

  1. Unemployment unchanged in May, marginally above expectations
  2. We forecast unemployment turning point within a year

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Inflation in May

  1. Inflation in May remained above Riksbank forecast
  2. Easter calendar effect wore off, but other factors lifted CPI
  3. Upward trend in underlying inflation continues

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Industrial Production in April

  1. Disappointment as April IP is roughly unchanged compared with a year ago
  2. IP outcome a concern for our forecast of a further strengthening of the boom in Sweden
  3. But new orders have, on the whole, been decent recently

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Swedish labour market strength exaggerated in data?

  1. Main statistics paint an overly optimistic picture of recent labour market developments
  2. Today's report from Statistics Sweden did not fully shed light on the problem
  3. The Riksbank to be faced with awkward future monetary policy trade-off?

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — First quarter Swedish GDP and retail sales in April

  1. GDP growth below trend in Q1, but retail sales have since accelerated
  2. The Riksbank likely unfazed by this negative surprise

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se