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Fast Comment Sweden

Fast Comment Sweden — Upbeat sentiment remains in February

  1. Manufacturing confidence slightly weaker, as expected
  2. Consumer confidence roughly sideways, slightly higher than consensus
  3. Overall confidence slightly weaker, slightly higher than forecasts

Anders Brunstedt, Economist | anbr42@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — January inflation in line with expectations

  1. January CPIF inflation down to 1.6 percent (1.9 percent in December)
  2. January CPI inflation down to 1.4 percent (1.7 percent in December)
  3. We overestimated food prices; potential upside for February reading

Anders Brunstedt, Economist | anbr42@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Flat unemployment rate at the start of the year

  1. SA unemployment rate in January at 6.8 percent
  2. Minor January forecast errors
  3. Limits to how low the unemployment rate will go

Anders Brunstedt, Economist | anbr42@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — The Riksbank leaves the repo rate unchanged

  1. Repo rate unchanged at -0.50 percent; bond purchases unchanged
  2. Repo rate path unchanged
  3. Prepared to do more if necessary

Andreas Skogelid, Strategist | ansk03@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Industrial production clearly weaker than expectations

  1. Industrial production clearly weaker than expectations
  2. Substantial recovery in the outlook for Q1 2017

Anders Brunstedt, Economist | anbr42@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Weaker-than-expected retail sales in December

  1. Retail sales in December changed by -2.9/0.6 percent m-o-m/y-o-y, much weaker than expectations
  2. Erratic sales data and divergent clues from surveys

Anders Brunstedt, Economist | anbr42@handelsbanken.se