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Fast Comment Sweden

Fast Comment Sweden — Unemployment in October

  1. Flat unemployment rate fully in line with expectations
  2. Sideways movement in unemployment is to some extent the result of matching problems
  3. Jobs growth still fast, but not all indicators support this pace going forward

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Inflation in October

  1. Inflation roughly in line with expectations
  2. Core inflation holding up well - Riksbank will not be worried by this outcome

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — House prices in October

  1. Second month with a slower rise
  2. The slowdown is broad-based
  3. The strong economy supports housing prices

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist | hebo12@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Riksbank business cycle indicator continues to rise

  1. Further confirmation of high resource utilisation, following today's business survey data
  2. A boost for inflation going forward; nevertheless, we now expect the Riksbank on hold until Sep 2018
  3. Retail sales data a challenge to our consumption forecast

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Riksbank monetary policy decision: On hold and uneventful, as widely expected

  1. The Riksbank keeps rate at the lowest ever, -0.50 percent; refrains from changing QE
  2. Is the Riksbank close to ticking any boxes on to-do-list?
  3. Extension of FX intervention mandate for signalling purposes only

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Unemployment in September

  1. Unemployment trend flat despite reignited growth in employment rate
  2. Job growth indicators are still mixed, dampening employment growth ahead
  3. Unemployment on the low side of potential is a foundation for higher cost pressures and hence inflation

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se