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Fast Comment Sweden

Fast Comment Sweden — Super strong manufacturing confidence

  1. Super strong manufacturing survey
  2. Overall confidence boosted by manufacturing 'overshooting'
  3. Private services confidence vital to the GDP outlook

Anders Brunstedt, Economist | anbr42@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — We expect slightly weaker sentiment

  1. Manufacturing Confidence Indicator estimated at 111.2 (prior 112.7)
  2. Consumer Confidence Indicator estimated at 103.4 (102.6)
  3. Economic Tendency Indicator estimated at 108.7 (109.2)

Anders Brunstedt, Economist | anbr42@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Unexpected employment strength

  1. SA unemployment rate in March 6.4 percent (estimated 6.7 percent)
  2. Y-o-y drop in unemployment rate: 0.9 p.p. (SA and UNSA)

Anders Brunstedt, Economist | anbr42@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Slow decrease in unemployment likely to continue

  1. Forecast on March unemployment rate: 6.7/7.3 percent (SA, UNSA)
  2. Our outlook: unemployment rate not likely to fall below 6.5 percent

Anders Brunstedt, Economist | anbr42@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Likely no action from the Riksbank

  1. Unchanged stance for the Riksbank
  2. Inflation on higher ground, but negative surprise in March
  3. Energy prices: a main driver over the past year

Anders Brunstedt, Economist | anbr42@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Inflation in March decreases by more than expected

  1. Inflation in March was significantly lower than the Riksbank's forecasts
  2. CPIF in March: 0.0/1.5 percent m-o-m/y-o-y (0.7/2.0 in February)
  3. CPI in March: 0.0/1.3 percent m-o-m/y-o-y (0.7/1.8 in Febtruary)

Anders Brunstedt, Economist | anbr42@handelsbanken.se