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Fast Comment Sweden

Fast Comment Sweden — Inflation disappoints, adding to Riksbank worries ahead of April meeting

  1. Inflation well short of expectations
  2. But volatile components explain most of our forecast error - partly temporary?
  3. For the time being, we stick to our view of decent inflation developments in 2019

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Housing prices up in January, but exceptionally low monthly figure

  1. Stagnated price trend as expected
  2. Some regional differences, but mind the volatility
  3. New completions to peak this year and housing prices remain close to unchanged, we believe

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist | hebo12@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Preview of January CPI: Setting the stage for 2019 inflation outlook

  1. Inflation to pick up, but less than Riksbank expects
  2. Is the yearly CPI basket change effect a risk to the Riksbank's 2019 outlook?
  3. Some January risks more temporary in nature, and overall we are positive on 2019 inflation

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Unemployment in January: Below expectations

  1. Unemployment at 6.5 percent (6.0 percent SA)
  2. Employment continued to rise
  3. Leading indicators point to more modest employment growth ahead

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist | hebo12@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Preview: Housing prices in January

  1. Stable housing price trend in 2018, what next?
  2. Figures from Svensk Mäklarstatistik indicate a small seasonally-adjusted decline
  3. The stable trend is likely to continue, but higher supply and the global downturn pose risks

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist | hebo12@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Riksbank holds rates, repeats autumn rate-hike plans

  1. Riksbank holds rates, repeats autumn rate-hike plans
  2. Krona strengthens, rates a touch higher
  3. Autumn hike still our baseline scenario

Claes Måhlén, Chief Strategist | clma02@handelsbanken.se