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Fast Comment Sweden

Fast Comment Sweden — Housing prices in June

  1. Slow increases in housing prices in June (SA), no surprises in sight
  2. Persistently elevated supply of housing units up for sale
  3. Risks remain, but so far the overall trend has been closely in line with expectations

Helena Bornevall, Senior Economist | hebo12@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Inflation in June: Another step on the path to December rate hike

  1. Inflation once again above the Riksbank's 2 percent
  2. Usual for this time of year, noisy components affect inflation...
  3. ...but underlying inflation AND energy prices are paving the way for a Riksbank rate hike in December

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Preview of June inflation: Remaining above the Riksbank target; risks tilted to the upside

  1. Inflation once again above 2 percent, but probably lower than the new Riksbank forecast
  2. Uncertainty elevated during summer months; we might be overly cautious
  3. Upward trends in energy prices and underlying inflation paving the way for a rate hike

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Business sector production in May: only a temporary spike?

  1. Strong headline production reading masks weaker underlying trend
  2. Spike in construction likely temporary, while manufacturing growth seems to be cooling
  3. In line with our forecast for a gradual GDP growth slowdown over the next year

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Riksbank monetary policy decision: staying on course for December hike

  1. The Riksbank stays on hold in terms of policy rate and key communication
  2. Still signals rate hike toward the end of the year, but is that likely to materialise?
  3. We continue to expect the first rate hike in December

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment Sweden — Crunching the latest wage data: preview of Riksbank monetary policy decision

  1. A lot of news to digest, but we expect the Riksbank to stay on hold at July meeting
  2. Wage data not the disappointment it was ahead of last Riksbank decision?
  3. Inflation expectations generally anchored, despite soaring among households?

Johan Löf, Senior Economist | jolo22@handelsbanken.se