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UK

UK Comment — BoE kept policy rate and guiding unchanged - expects Brexit fog to clear soon

  1. Policy rate kept unchanged at 0.75%, vote was unanimous; QE programme also unchanged
  2. Forecast mostly unchanged
  3. Brexit uncertainty takes centre stage - the BoE chooses to be optimistic

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no

UK Comment — Preview Bank of England: The MPC to wait and see

  1. Monetary policy to be left unchanged
  2. New data since August somewhat on the strong side
  3. Downside risks warrant cautiousness

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no

UK Comment — Consumer price inflation surprises to the downside in September

  1. CPI and CPI core inflation down to 2.4% and 1.9% respectively
  2. Inflation pulled lower by the same volatile components that pulled up in August
  3. Inflation now in line with the BoE’s expectation

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no

UK Comment — UK wage growth accelerates, while employment growth weakens

  1. Unemployment rate unchanged at 4.0 percent, regular pay growth up to 3.1 percent
  2. Wage growth stronger than the Bank of England's short-term expectation
  3. Weaker employment growth could temper wage growth ahead

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no

UK Comment — Manufacturing PMI picks up somewhat at the end of Q3 - up to 53.8 in September

  1. Sentiment pulled higher by improvement in new orders and output
  2. Price pressure remains high
  3. Output index still points to further deceleration in manufacturing output growth

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no

UK Comment — Consumer price inflation stronger than expected in August

  1. Consumer price inflation picked up in August, but producer price inflation fell back slightly
  2. Inflation pulled up by some rather volatile components
  3. Sterling effect signals further downside to CPI inflation

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no