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UK

UK Comment — Manufacturing sentiment slides further in January as price pressures intensify

  1. New orders and output weigh on sentiment
  2. Input prices rising at the fastest rate in 11 months
  3. Based on past form, sentiment suggests slower output growth in the near term

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no

UK Comment — UK GDP growth stronger than expected in Q4

  1. UK GDP growth up to 0.5% in Q4, after 0.4% in Q3
  2. Growth pulled up by services and manufacturing; construction fell again
  3. Sentiment suggests GDP growth should hold up going into 2018

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no

UK Comment — Still robust labour market

  1. Catch-up in both employment and labour force growth
  2. Claims increasing, but surveys indicate labour market is still robust
  3. We believe Brexit-related uncertainty will keep wage growth subdued

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no

Global Konjunkturprognos - uppdatering — Mogen konjunktur förändrar riskbilden

• Stark inledning på 2018 - svagare avslutning
• Medvindar mojnar för tillgångsmarknader
• Uppåtrisk för inflation och räntor

Ann Öberg, Head of Economic Research | anob04@handelsbanken.se

Global Macro Forecast - update — Mature business cycle changes the risk profile

• Strong start to 2018, but a weaker ending
• Asset price tailwinds subsiding
• Upside risks to inflation and interest rates

Ann Öberg, Head of Economic Research | anob04@handelsbanken.se

UK Comment — CPI inflation looks to have peaked

  1. CPI inflation down to 3.0% in December, in line with consensus
  2. Cost pressures easing
  3. CPI inflation broadly in line with BoE expectation

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway | kadu01@handelsbanken.no