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All US Publications

Fast Comment US — Strong payrolls, but moderate wage growth

  1. Strong payrolls; unemployment at its lowest rate since 1969
  2. Wage growth holds steady
  3. We expect job growth to slow down and the Fed’s next move will be to cut rates

Anders Bergvall, Senior Economist | anbe83@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment US — Fed leaves rates on hold; we expect the next move to be a rate cut

  1. Fed leaves fund rates unchanged, but the interest on excess reserves rate (IOER) was lowered
  2. Minor tweaks to press statement
  3. We expect the Fed to leave rates on hold this year, with the next step to be rate cuts next year

Anders Bergvall, Senior Economist | anbe83@handelsbanken.se

Global Macro Forecast — Meagre shelter for the global economy

• Economic slowdown and long period of weak growth
• Persistent political worries; households increasingly cautious
• Central banks change course, but their toolboxes look empty

Lena Fahlén, Head of Economic Research | leli15@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment US — Strong employment gains, but moderate wage growth

  1. Strong employment gains; continued strong labour market
  2. Moderate wage growth
  3. We expect job growth to slow down and the Fed’s next move will be to cut rates

Anders Bergvall, Senior Economist | anbe83@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment US — Fed leaves rates on hold; balance sheet run-down to end in September

  1. Fed leaves rates unchanged as expected and “dot plots” indicate unchanged rates in 2019
  2. Fed continues to signal a patient stance; balance sheet run-down to end in September
  3. We expect the Fed to leave rates on hold this year, with the next step to be rate cuts next year

Anders Bergvall, Senior Economist | anbe83@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment US — Weak payrolls, but labour market conditions still tightening

  1. Weak employment growth, but labour market conditions still tightening
  2. Wage pressure building
  3. We expect weaker growth and rising unemployment to prompt the Fed to cut rates next year

Anders Bergvall, Senior Economist | anbe83@handelsbanken.se