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Published: 22 March 2018 | Macro Comment US | Keywords: FED
22 March 2018
Substantially more expansionary fiscal policy indicates stronger growth for both 2018 and 2019 than in our January forecast. However, the demand impulses from the tax reform and budget deal also increase the risks of overheating. The Federal Reserve will, in our view, respond and raise the policy rate three more times this year. Moreover, we believe that financial conditions will tighten more than households and firms expect. Thus, even if we now expect growth to be maintained for longer, we are still more pessimistic than consensus about the longer-term performance of the US economy and believe that the US will lead the next global downturn.
Christina Nyman, Head of Forecasting | chny09@handelsbanken.se
Published: 21 March 2018 | Fast Comment US | Keywords: Bond Market EUR/USD FED
21 March 2018
Claes Måhlén, Chief Strategist | clma02@handelsbanken.se
Published: 9 March 2018 | Fast Comment US | Keywords: Bond Market FED Labour Market Monetary Policy
9 March 2018
Jes Asmussen, Chief Economist Denmark | jeas01@handelsbanken.dk
Published: 27 February 2018 | Fast Comment US | Keywords: FED Financials Fiscal Policy Monetary Policy
27 February 2018
Published: 14 February 2018 | Fast Comment US | Keywords: Consumption Exchanges Rates(Macro) FED Inflation Monetary Policy
14 February 2018
Published: 2 February 2018 | Fast Comment US | Keywords: FED Labour Market
2 February 2018
Rasmus Gudum-Sessingø, Senior Economist | ragu02@handelsbanken.dk