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Fast Comment US

Fast Comment US — Fed hikes rates, signals two more rate hikes in the second half of this year

  1. Fed hikes rates as expected
  2. Two more rate hikes in the second half of this year signalled
  3. Policy rates higher than the long-run neutral rate in 2019

Fast Comment US — 'Whoop, whoop' goes the labour market

  1. Payrolls up by 223,000 persons in May, above expectations
  2. Unemployment rate falls to 3.8 percent, the lowest since 1969
  3. Fed on track to raise rates in June despite any trade war worries

Jes Asmussen, Chief Economist Denmark | jeas01@handelsbanken.dk

Fast Comment US — US April labour market data a mixed bag

  1. US April labour market data a mixed bag
  2. Employment growth slowing slightly
  3. Market reaction muted - Fed outlook unchanged

Claes Måhlén, Chief Strategist | clma02@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment US — Fed leaves rates on hold; June hike cemented

  1. Fed leaves rates on hold, as expected
  2. Minor tweaks to press statement; June hike cemented
  3. USD a touch lower; short rates unchanged

Lars Henriksson, Strategist | lahe06@handelsbanken.se

Fast Comment US — Employment disappoints

  1. Payrolls rise by 103,000 people in March; weaker than expected
  2. Unempoyment rate unchanged at 4.1%; wage growth picks up to 2.7% (2.6%)
  3. Weak report does not alter our outlook for three more Fed hikes this year

Jes Asmussen, Chief Economist Denmark | jeas01@handelsbanken.dk

Fast Comment US — Fed hikes and raises rate outlook for 2019, 2020

  1. Fed hikes and raises rate outlook for 2019, 2020
  2. Press statement little changed; significantly lower unemployment forecasts
  3. USD slightly lower, curve steepens

Claes Måhlén, Chief Strategist | clma02@handelsbanken.se