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Results: listing 1 - 6 of 123 for “Politics”

Fast Comment US — Government shutdown still unresolved

  1. Efforts to end government shutdown continue
  2. Economic impact of short-lived shutdown should be limited
  3. Larger, more serious issues loom

Jes Asmussen, Chief Economist Denmark |

UK Comment — Key takeaways from the Autumn Budget

  1. GDP growth forecast revised down, now well in line with our expectations
  2. Fiscal policy somewhat more expansionary than expected, but no breach of fiscal rules
  3. Fiscal policy still contractionary, but less so than assumed in March

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway |

UK Comment — Florence speech: The UK government aims to buy itself some more time

  1. The UK government aims for 'status quo' transition period of two years
  2. The UK still wants bespoke deal; a solution like the one for Norway or Canada will not be enough
  3. Our take: transition period will buy more time, but hard Brexit still the most likely outcome

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway |

Monthly Macro Update — Recovery phase is about to end

US: 'Goldilocks scenario' will not last long
Eurozone: Approaching balanced growth
UK: Brexit negotiations thrown into chaos
Nordics: Short-term resilience

Ann Öberg, Head of Economic Research |

UK Comment — UK election: Conservatives seem to have lost their majority

  1. Conservatives seem to have lost their majority: political uncertainty ahead, possibly new election
  2. Brexit could become softer; timetable looks even more stretched now
  3. Uncertainty bad for the GBP in the short term, but a softer Brexit could strengthen it in the longer term

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway |

UK Comment — UK election preview (corrected version)

  1. Exit poll at 22.00 GMT, clear idea about result around 06.00 GMT tomorrow
  2. The Conservatives look set to increase majority, but then 2016 taught us not to trust the polls...
  3. Outcome shouldn't affect Brexit much unless Labour wins

Kari Due-Andresen, Chief Economist Norway |