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FX Pilot

FX Pilot — USD buoyed by global funding shortage

- USD: High costs for the USD in the FX swaps
- EUR: Referendum in Italy and Austrian presidential election on Sunday
- EURNOK: Risk of a weaker NOK in next week's survey
- USDCNY: Weaker CNY vs. the USD, but unchanged effective rate

Lars Henriksson, FX Strategist | lahe06@handelsbanken.se

FX Pilot — Trumpolitics boost inflation expectations

- US: Trumpolitics boost inflation expectations
- EURSEK: Weak Swedish inflation remains
- EURGBP: Key data still holding up
- USDCNY: Faster CNY depreciation after Trump's election

Pierre Carlsson, Strategist | pica01@handelsbanken.se

FX Pilot — USD: The Fed vs. the election

- GBP: Volatility here to stay
- EUR/SEK: Red alert at Riksbank triggers SEK slump
- EUR/NOK: Downside risk to NOK interest rate path
- EUR/USD: Fed vs. election drama
- USD/CNY: CNY finally stabilises

Pierre Carlsson, Strategist | pica01@handelsbanken.se

FX Pilot — UK: Conflicting views on Brexit

- EURSEK: No need for the Riksbank to panic
- EURGBP: Slightly stronger pound toward year-end
- EURUSD: ECB to stay on the sidelines
- USDCNY: Weaker renminbi in line with our forecast

Lars Henriksson, FX Strategist | lahe06@handelsbanken.se

FX Pilot — OPEC back in business?

- EURSEK: SEK strength continues to be stalled
- EURGBP: Britain is heading for a hard exit
- EURUSD: Volatility increase toward year-end
- USDCNY: Renminbi joins IMF's SDR basket

Pierre Carlsson, Strategist | pica01@handelsbanken.se

FX Pilot — No action from Bank of Japan to reverse the yen

- USDJPY: Bank of Japan presents no game changer
- EURSEK: Unemployment and housing worries have stalled the strengthening of the krona
- EURNOK: Norges Bank to stay on hold in September
- EURUSD: We stick to our view of a lower euro against the dollar
- USDCNY: Chinese authorities are showing markets they are still in control

Lars Henriksson, FX Strategist | lahe06@handelsbanken.se